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Q1 2016: Global Commercial Property Monitor

Commodity exporters continue to struggle despite more stable tone to sentiment in China

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The Q1 2016 RICS Global Commercial Property Monitor shows sentiment across developed economies in general remains solid, with occupier and investment demand for commercial real estate increasing. Meanwhile, the softness in commodity prices continues to place financial pressure on many emerging markets heavily reliant on exports and this is being reflected in a rather downbeat near term outlook for the commercial property sector.

The latest results confirm Germany continues to exhibit the strongest current momentum on the investment side of the market, retaining the top ranking for a second consecutive quarter. Indeed, on a global comparison, the RICS Investment Sentiment Index (a composite gauge covering developments in the investment market) points to Germany, along with New Zealand, posting the most significant improvement in investment fundamentals over the quarter. In both cases, buyer enquiries continue to build at a sharp rate, across all sectors, while the supply of property for investment purposes is in decline. These dynamics continue to exert upward pressure on prices, with both prime and secondary assets expected to increase in value over the year ahead. On a more cautious note, with yields near record lows, 55% of respondents in Germany sense market conditions are close to peaking, although investor appetite shows no sign of waning for the time being.

Source : RICS

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