While the current level of retail sales growth remains robust, we question whether shoppers can continue to spend at this level by dipping into their savings or taking on more unsecured debt.
In the occupational market there are signs that retailers are becoming increasingly cautious about expansion. Retailer's margins are likely to remain under rising pressure over the next quarter as import inflation rises.
We are moderately optimistic about the remainder of the year for the shopping centre investment market. While the volume of transactions in Q1 was lower than average, there is a lot of stock being prepared for sale. Rising yields away from the primest end of the market may well attract some more opportunistic buyers into this sector.
Source : Savills